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 Hurricanes

Atlantic

Title Description
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 021113
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 2 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 02 Aug 2021 12:06:42 GMT

Eastern Pacific

Title Description
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021109
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hilda, located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression
Ten-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical
Depression Nine-E is producing a broad area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Other than its proximity to
Hurricane Hilda, somewhat favorable environmental conditions could
allow this system to redevelop into a tropical depression in a
couple of days while the low moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
Summary for Hurricane Hilda (EP3/EP082021) ...HILDA HEADED FOR A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 the center of Hilda was located near 15.3, -122.1 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
Hurricane Hilda Public Advisory Number 11 Issued at 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 020836
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Hilda Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082021
200 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021
 
...HILDA HEADED FOR A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 122.1W
ABOUT 955 MI...1535 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hilda was located
near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 122.1 West.  Hilda is moving
toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A slower motion 
toward the northwest is expected to begin later this morning and 
continue through early Wednesday.  A turn back to the west-northwest 
is forecast later on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Weakening is expected to begin later today, and Hilda is 
forecast to weaken to a tropical storm by early Tuesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
Hurricane Hilda Forecast Advisory Number 11 Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 020835
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082021
0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 121.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.8N 122.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.7N 123.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.8N 124.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.9N 125.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.8N 127.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.2N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
Hurricane Hilda Forecast Discussion Number 11 Issued at 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 020836
TCDEP3
 
Hurricane Hilda Discussion Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082021
200 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021

SSMIS microwave data received just after the previous advisory 
indicate that Hilda's structure may have improved slightly, with a 
closed mid-level eye noted in the 85-GHz channel.  However, the 
microwave data also showed that the low- and mid-level centers 
remain offset from each other by about 15 n mi due to continued 
moderate easterly shear.  The initial intensity remains 70 kt, which 
is a blend of the latest final-T Dvorak numbers from TAFB and SAB.
 
Hilda has begun to turn to the right and slow down, and the initial 
motion is west-northwestward (295 degrees) at 7 kt.  Although the 
subtropical ridge remains positioned to the north of Hilda, the 
hurricane's close proximity to Tropical Depression Ten-E and the 
remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is expected to cause some 
binary interaction over the next couple of days, with Hilda likely 
to slow down further and turn toward the northwest later today and 
continue on that heading through Wednesday.  In fact, the newest 
track guidance has trended to the northeast during the first 48 
hours, and the updated NHC forecast has therefore been shifted a 
bit to the right during that period.  However, it should be noted 
that the track adjustment is conservative, and does not show a 
turn quite as sharp as that shown by the TVCE and HCCA consensus 
aids.  Low-level ridging should play a more prominent role in about 
3 days, causing Hilda to turn back toward the west-northwest and 
then west by the end of the forecast period.  No significant track 
changes were required during the day 3-5 time period.
 
Moderate east-northeasterly shear is expected to continue for the 
next 36 hours or so, with Hilda also heading toward cooler waters 
during that time.  Therefore, gradual weakening is expected to 
commence later today, and the NHC intensity forecast is close to 
the HCCA and ICON consensus aids for the next day or so.  Sub-26 
degree Celsius waters are likely to cause quicker weakening from 36 
hours onward, and the NHC intensity forecast has been nudged 
downward during that period.  This new forecast is lower than the 
statistical-dynamical models but not nearly as low as the latest 
HCCA solution.  Hilda is now forecast to weaken to a tropical 
depression by day 3 and degenerate into a remnant low by day 4, 
although the HCCA scenario suggests that these transitions could 
occur as much as a day earlier.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/0900Z 15.3N 122.1W   70 KT  80 MPH
 12H  02/1800Z 15.8N 122.7W   70 KT  80 MPH
 24H  03/0600Z 16.7N 123.5W   65 KT  75 MPH
 36H  03/1800Z 17.8N 124.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 48H  04/0600Z 18.9N 125.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  04/1800Z 19.8N 127.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
 72H  05/0600Z 20.5N 128.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 96H  06/0600Z 21.2N 132.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  07/0600Z 21.5N 136.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
Hurricane Hilda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11 Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 020836
PWSEP3
                                                                    
HURRICANE HILDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082021               
0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 120W       34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 120W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 125W       34  2   5( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
20N 125W       34  1   2( 3)   7(10)  18(28)   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
Hurricane Hilda Graphics Hurricane Hilda 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 08:37:38 GMT

Hurricane Hilda 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 09:23:25 GMT
Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102021) ...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM... As of 3:00 AM MDT Mon Aug 2 the center of Ten-E was located near 18.0, -113.4 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 3 Issued at 300 AM MDT Mon Aug 02 2021

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 020836
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102021
300 AM MDT Mon Aug 02 2021
 
...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 113.4W
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E
was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 113.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 
km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed 
is expected for the next couple of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible, and the depression could 
become a short-lived tropical storm later today.  Weakening is
expected to begin tonight or Tuesday morning, and the system is 
forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night. 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 3 Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 020835
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102021
0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 113.4W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 113.4W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 113.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.7N 114.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.3N 117.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 113.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Discussion Number 3 Issued at 300 AM MDT Mon Aug 02 2021

439 
WTPZ45 KNHC 020837
TCDEP5
 
Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102021
300 AM MDT Mon Aug 02 2021
 
The depression has not become any better organized overnight. In
fact, the earlier cluster of deep convection that was located to
the west of the center has weakened with the center becoming
farther exposed to the northeast of a new burst of convection that 
has recently developed.  Unfortunately the tropical cyclone was 
located within the gap of the polar-orbiting ASCAT instrument 
overnight so there were no scatterometer data to help ascertain the 
depression's intensity.  Subjective Dvorak estimates from SAB and 
TAFB ranged from 30 to 35 kt, and since there has been no overall 
change in organization, the intensity is held at 30 kt for this 
advisory.
 
The depression has a short window of opportunity today in which to 
become a tropical storm, however increasing shear and cool waters 
along the forecast track should end that possibility by early 
tonight.  Weakening is expected to begin shortly thereafter 
as the system moves into aforementioned hostile environmental 
conditions, and the cyclone is predicted to become a remnant low by 
late Tuesday, and dissipate on Wednesday. The NHC intensity 
forecast is close to the intensity consensus and follows the global 
model guidance in calling for dissipation in 48-60 h. 
 
The depression is moving west-northwestward or 295/9 kt.  The track 
forecast reasoning remains unchanged as the cyclone should move 
west-northwestward along the southwestern portion of a mid-level 
ridge. As the system weakens, it is likely to slow down and turn 
westward within the low-level flow around Hilda located to its 
southwest.  The NHC track prediction remains near the middle of
the guidance envelope, and little modification to the previous 
advisory was needed. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/0900Z 18.0N 113.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  02/1800Z 18.7N 114.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  03/0600Z 19.6N 116.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  03/1800Z 20.3N 117.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  04/0600Z 20.5N 118.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 

Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021

000
FOPZ15 KNHC 020836
PWSEP5
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102021               
0900 UTC MON AUG 02 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34 51   4(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
ISLA CLARION   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 115W       34  4   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics Tropical Depression Ten-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 08:37:55 GMT

Tropical Depression Ten-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 09:29:57 GMT

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